Abstract
This issue brief explores India’s evolving strategic considerations and policy challenges in the context of Myanmar’s instability following the assumption of power by the State Administrative Council (SAC). Myanmar’s complex internal conflict, deepened by resistance movements, pro-democratic fighters and ethnic armed organisations, has intensified regional insecurity. As insurgency and humanitarian crises escalate, India’s border management, counter-insurgency partnerships, and diplomatic engagements face critical challenges. Drawing on geopolitical, economic, and military developments upto mid-2025, this paper presents possible future scenarios and offers pragmatic policy options for India.
Keywords: India-Myanmar relations, Myanmar Military (Tatmadaw), Rohingya, State, Administrative Council (SAC), Insurgency, Act East Policy, Border security, China–Myanmar, Economic Corridor (CMEC), Refugee policy, Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN)
