Abstract
This issue brief explores India’s evolving strategic considerations and policy challenges in the context of Myanmar’s instability following the assumption of power by the State Administrative Council (SAC). Myanmar’s complex internal conflict, deepened by resistance movements, pro-democratic fighters and ethnic armed organisations, has intensified regional insecurity. As insurgency and humanitarian crises escalate, India’s border management, counter-insurgency partnerships, and diplomatic engagements face critical challenges. Drawing on geopolitical, economic, and military developments upto mid-2025, this paper presents possible future scenarios and offers pragmatic policy options for India.
Keywords: India-Myanmar relations, Myanmar Military (Tatmadaw), Rohingya, State, Administrative Council (SAC), Insurgency, Act East Policy, Border security, China–Myanmar, Economic Corridor (CMEC), Refugee policy, Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN)
Jai hind sir
An insightful issue brief that clearly lays out India’s policy dilemmas amid Myanmar’s instability. The balanced focus on security, diplomacy and humanitarian aspects makes it a valuable read.
Regards
‘At the Edge of Stability…’ is a very interesting and apt title.
The way you have provided the political background of the current situation, and covered China’s influence because of its strategic interests is worth noting. What I liked the most is how effectively you have put forth the points from a geo-political lens. Figure 1 and Map 1 were well placed. Though, like you talk about Sittwe Port and Kaladhan Multi-Modal Transit Transportation Project and attach a map to showcase the same, I would have liked to see the Kyaukpyu Port and Muse Mandalay Railway on the map too.
Still, since the paper is about India’s options, I would say you have covered India’s stance, why it is so and recommended approaches brilliantly.
I found it well written.
I’m glad you found the article insightful. Your encouragement means a lot, and it motivates me to continue exploring these themes in greater depth.