Abstract
China’s likelihood of annexing Taiwan before 2030 is growing, driven by intensified military activities, economic slowdown, mounting domestic pressures, Xi Jinping’s rising authoritarianism, and shifting global power dynamics. Weakening Western unity, declining global dependence on Taiwan, and increasing US-China tensions—exacerbated by Trump’s return—create a narrowing window for decisive Chinese action. Xi’s paranoia, hyper-nationalism, and strategic recalibrations with regional powers further fuel the urgency. China’s perception of isolation and humiliation and its fear of losing economic leverage raises the risk of a forceful move. Given these unfolding dynamics, India must proactively prepare a coordinated national response to safeguard its interests.
Keywords: Annexation of Taiwan, China-Taiwan war by 2030, Taiwan war, Taiwan capture
