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The Handshake and the Blacklist: America’s Dual Track China Strategy

Ashu MaanbyAshu Maan
June 11, 2026
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Less than a month ago, the President of the United States stood in Beijing, spoke warmly of constructive strategic stability, and invited Xi Jinping to Washington. On 8 June 2026, the same administration declared that Alibaba and Baidu, the firms that quietly run much of China’s internet, cloud and artificial intelligence, are companies that help the Chinese military.

To the casual reader, this looks like the left hand undoing what the right hand had just built. It is nothing of the sort. It is the clearest signal yet that summitry and strategic competition between the world’s two largest powers now run on two separate tracks and that the second track does not slow down for the first.

The action came under a law called Section 1260H, which obliges the American Defence Department to name “Chinese military companies” operating in the United States. The updated roster now carries 188 names, up from 134 a year ago. Besides Alibaba and Baidu, now sit the electric-car giant BYD, the carmaker NIO and the drug-research firm WuXi AppTec.

Here one must be precise, because the headlines are not. This is not a sanctions list. The listing itself freezes no assets, bans no shares and blocks no exports. What it does is forbid the Pentagon from signing contracts with these firms, and it works as an official “name and shame” warning to American companies and investors to keep their distance. The real sting lies in what may follow. The list is a signpost, pointing towards possible future action by the Treasury or the Commerce Department. It is a leading indicator of hostility, not the full measure of it.

So why would Washington wound the very firms it had, only weeks earlier, been willing to do business with? The answer lies not in confusion but in the structure of the rivalry. Realist thinkers from Thucydides to George Kennan understood a hard truth: when a rising power draws level with an established one, warmth at the summit rarely softens the contest beneath it. Leaders may smile for the cameras; states still judge one another by capability, not goodwill. The handshake in Beijing was diplomacy. The list in Washington is strategy. Both are entirely real, and they are meant to coexist.

The most revealing chapter of this story is hidden in February, when the Pentagon quietly published almost this same list and then pulled it down within minutes, at the White House’s insistence, for fear of upsetting a fragile trade truce. That truce had been struck at Busan in October 2025, where the two leaders agreed to pause China’s rare-earth controls and ease American tariffs, and it was reaffirmed at the Beijing summit in May. In hindsight, the February retreat was not timidity. It was most probably a glimpse of the genuine tug-of-war inside the American state between the China hawks at the Pentagon and on Capitol Hill, and the deal-makers around the President who would’ve wanted the truce to survive. In June, the hawks seemed to have won the round.

The named firms reacted as one would expect. Alibaba called the charge “a mistake” and threatened to fight it in court; Baidu termed its listing “entirely baseless.” Beijing’s foreign ministry urged Washington to “correct its wrongdoings” and stop the “groundless suppression” of Chinese firms. Tellingly, China’s reply was angry words rather than retaliation, a sign that, for the moment, Beijing too wishes to keep the truce alive.

One former American official, now a lobbyist for Tencent, put the objection sharply: by this very logic, Ford and General Motors would have to be called American military companies. When a list swells from 47 names in 2021 to 188 today, it risks losing the one quality that gives it force, the power to single out a real and present danger. A warning that points at everything ends up pointing at nothing. The phone-maker Xiaomi won its way off an earlier version of this list in 2021, after a judge called the government’s reasoning “deeply flawed.” Alibaba and BYD will surely attempt the same.

And yet the instinct behind the policy is not foolish. A White House memo last November alleged that Alibaba had given the Chinese army technical support for operations aimed at American targets. Whether or not that particular charge holds, the larger reality does. In an age when conflicts are waged with data, chips and algorithms, the line between a shopping application and a weapon has genuinely blurred. The companies that build a nation’s digital backbone are, whether they like it or not, strategic assets. Kennan grasped in 1947 that the containment of a rival is decided not on the battlefield alone but in the slow contest of industry and technology. That contest has simply migrated to the cloud.

So we are left with a paradox that is really a lesson. The handshake in Beijing and the blacklist in Washington are not contradictions waiting to be resolved. They are the two faces of how great powers now treat one another, engaging where they must, restraining where they can, and never confusing the one for the other. For India, watching this contest from the wings, the lesson is sharper still. A world in which even a cordial summit cannot shield a nation’s champion firms from a rival’s strategic machinery is a world where economic strength and national security can no longer be filed away in separate boxes. Trade follows the handshake; power follows the list. The prudent nation learns to read both and to build its own resilience long before it is forced to choose a side.

Tags: AmericaChinaStrategyUS-China
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Ashu Maan

Ashu Maan

Ashu Maan is an Associate Fellow at the Centre for Land Warfare Studies. He was awarded the VCOAS Commendation card on Army Day 2025. He is currently pursuing his PhD from Amity University, Noida in Defence and Strategic Studies. He has previously worked with Institute of Chinese Studies. He has also contributed a chapter on “Denuclearization of North Korea” in the book titled Drifts and Dynamics: Russia’s Ukraine War and Northeast Asia. His research includes India-China territorial dispute, the Great Power Rivalry between the United States and China, and China’s Foreign Policy.

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